Ben Emons Forecasts Possible Fed Rate Hike in October
Current overview (not historical)
Ben Emons predicts that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its October meeting. He notes that while markets currently favor a pause, the probability of a hike is only 16%. Emons argues that if energy‑driven inflation persists and unemployment does not rise, the economy could enter a stallfation scenario—an inflationary slowdown—making a rate increase more likely. He stresses that data, rather than the upcoming midterm elections, will guide the Fed’s decision.
Written with AI from the reporting · updated 10/19/2026
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- 1Unclassified fact stationOct 19, 10:59single sourcereport-time only
Ben Emons 预测联邦储备局或在10月加息
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- Subject：
- Ben Emons
- Action：
- 预测联邦储备局可能在10月加息
- Object：
- 联邦储备局
- Occurred (fact side)：
- not recorded
- Published (valid side)：
- Oct 19, 10:28
- First seen (known side)：
- Oct 19, 10:59
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- BeInCryptoRelated fact: single sourceFact occurrence time unverifiedBen Emons predicts Fed may hike before December, citing inflation data over midterms
Report first recorded Oct 19, 10:59
Ben Emons of FedWatch Advisors argues markets are underpricing a Fed rate hike at the October meeting, expecting one or two more hikes as inflation pressure builds. While CME data shows only a 16% chance of a hike, Emons says policymakers prioritize real-time inflation figures over lagging midterm election data. He also warns that sustained energy-driven inflation and potential slowdowns in AI-related cloud stocks could signal a 'stallflation' scenario.
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