Bitcoin-to-Nasdaq Ratio Reclaims 200-Day Moving Average
Current overview (not historical)
The Bitcoin-to-Nasdaq ratio reclaimed its 200-day moving average on September 18 after 235 consecutive sessions below it, turning bullish. Historically, this signal has an 83% hit rate, though the current recovery shows only a 62% success rate so far, the shallowest on record. An invalid zone sits between $760,000 and $770,000, with key support at the $1 million line.
Written with AI from the reporting · updated 10/26/2026
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- 1Unclassified fact stationSep 18, 00:00recorded Oct 26, 22:18single source
Bitcoin-to-Nasdaq ratio reclaims 200-day moving average afte
Read original source ↗ Bitcoin MagazineReplay this moment in the explorerEvidence & revisions · 1 source records
- Subject：
- bitcoin
- Action：
- ratio reclaims 200-day moving average
- Object：
- Bitcoin-to-Nasdaq ratio
- Occurred (fact side)：
- Sep 18, 00:00
- Published (valid side)：
- Oct 26, 21:26
- First seen (known side)：
- Oct 26, 22:18
Fact stationSingle source · one-sided claimCopy may have been revised later; time replay is bounded. Layer labels group reading only, not causation between layers.
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- Bitcoin MagazineRelated fact: single sourceBitcoin-to-Nasdaq Ratio Reclaims 200-Day Moving Average After 235 Sessions
Report first recorded Oct 26, 22:18
Bitcoin priced in tech stocks reclaimed its 200-day moving average on September 18, ending a 235-session streak below the level. Historically, such a reclaim has been followed by gains one year later five out of six times, with a median return of roughly 84%. This cycle's reset to 62% was the shallowest on record, distinguishing it from the 2021 fake-out. Sean Hagan identifies an invalidation level between $76,000 and $77,000 and a $100,000 price target.
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