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EVENT / TOPICHistorical

XT Exchange Launches XPredict, a Polymarket‑Based Prediction Market Tool

3 reports1 sources10/30/2026 updated

Current overview (not historical)

AI overview

XT Exchange has introduced XPredict, a prediction‑market tool built on the Polymarket mechanism that lets users trade predefined Yes/No event markets directly within their standard trading accounts. The platform claims that XPredict allows users to price economic data, decisions, or event outcomes without leaving the site, with prices reflecting participants’ current willingness to pay. XPredict’s settlement is handled by Polymarket, while XT manages the user accounts and interface. In the XPredict Pay feature, users can pay with USDT balances that XT holds in escrow to initiate trades. A third‑party provider then processes local QR payments and settles merchants in local currency, enabling users to transact without holding stablecoins.

Written with AI from the reporting · updated 10/30/2026

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Story route

A station-by-station route from the first public evidence onward; every station carries its own evidence and uncertainty.

  1. 1Unclassified fact stationMay 1, 00:00recorded Oct 22, 16:05single source

    XT Exchange发布XPredict预测市场工具

    Read original source ↗ BeInCryptoReplay this moment in the explorer
    Evidence & revisions · 1 source records
    Subject:
    xt-exchange
    Action:
    发布
    Object:
    XPredict预测市场工具
    Occurred (fact side):
    May 1, 00:00
    BeInCrypto ↗Report pageOriginal / first version
    Published (valid side):
    Oct 22, 15:41
    First seen (known side):
    Oct 22, 16:05
    Fact stationSingle source · one-sided claim

    Copy may have been revised later; time replay is bounded. Layer labels group reading only, not causation between layers.

  2. 2Unclassified fact stationOct 22, 00:00recorded Oct 22, 20:50single source

    XT Exchange介绍连接功能构建金融服务

    Read original source ↗ BeInCryptoReplay this moment in the explorer
    Evidence & revisions · 1 source records
    Subject:
    XT Exchange
    Action:
    介绍连接功能
    Object:
    构建金融服务能力
    Occurred (fact side):
    Oct 22, 00:00
    BeInCrypto ↗Report pageOriginal / first version
    Published (valid side):
    Oct 22, 20:31
    First seen (known side):
    Oct 22, 20:50
    Fact stationSingle source · one-sided claim

    Copy may have been revised later; time replay is bounded. Layer labels group reading only, not causation between layers.

  3. 3Unclassified fact stationOct 30, 00:00recorded Oct 30, 23:22single source

    XT Exchange推出基于事件的预测市场功能

    Read original source ↗ BeInCryptoReplay this moment in the explorer
    Evidence & revisions · 1 source records
    Subject:
    xt-exchange
    Action:
    推出预测市场功能
    Object:
    XPredict预测市场平台
    Occurred (fact side):
    Oct 30, 00:00
    BeInCrypto ↗Report pageOriginal / first version
    Published (valid side):
    Oct 30, 22:40
    First seen (known side):
    Oct 30, 23:22
    Fact stationSingle source · one-sided claim

    Copy may have been revised later; time replay is bounded. Layer labels group reading only, not causation between layers.

Uncertainty marks flag where to check the sources; they are not proven causation.

Report timeline

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Oct 30
  1. BeInCryptoRelated fact: single source
    XPredict Launches Event‑Based Prediction Markets on XT Exchange

    Report first recorded Oct 30, 23:22

    XPredict, a new feature on XT Exchange, introduces binary event‑based markets where users can bet on a specific outcome using USDT from their XT Spot account. Each market offers a Yes or No outcome, with prices fluctuating as traders place bets. Settlement rules are tightly defined: they specify the exact event, the source of confirmation, and any exceptional cases, mirroring Polymarket’s mechanism. Once the outcome is confirmed, XT settles winning shares at 100 cents and losing shares at zero, with settlement handled through its internal account system. The feature allows participants to trade precise predictions—such as whether a particular central bank will cut rates at its next meeting—rather than broad forecasts, thereby expanding XT Exchange’s exposure to traditional‑finance‑style markets for its 12 million+ users worldwide.

    Read original source ↗
Oct 22
  1. BeInCryptoRelated fact: single source
    XT Exchange builds financial services by integrating external platforms rather than building everything in-house

    Report first recorded Oct 22, 20:50

    XT Exchange expands its financial service capabilities through platform connections instead of end-to-end development. For event markets in XPredict, Polymarket powers market status and settlement, while XT manages the user account and interface. In XT Pay transactions using USDT, XT holds the balance and initiates the transaction, but a designated third-party provider handles local QR payments and settles with the merchant in local currency, meaning the merchant never holds stablecoins. XT emphasizes that integrations, not joint ventures, allow the platform to add functions by connecting to specialized services like market resolution or local payment networks, while remaining accountable for the user experience.

    Read original source ↗
  2. BeInCryptoRelated fact: single source
    XT Exchange integrates XPredict, a prediction market feature powered by Polymarket

    Report first recorded Oct 22, 16:05

    XT Exchange launched XPredict in May 2026, allowing eligible users to trade defined Yes/No event markets within their ordinary exchange accounts. This mechanism, based on Polymarket, enables users to price collective expectations on outcomes like economic figures, scheduled decisions, or sporting results, making the aggregated price a continuously updated indication of participant views rather than a definitive forecast.

    Read original source ↗

Event activity trend

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10Oct 31, 00:00
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-51%

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