Public Rejects Betting on U.S. Elections, Challenging Prediction Market Adoption
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A recent survey shows that 69 % of Democrats and 61 % of Republicans oppose betting on election outcomes, indicating low public acceptance of prediction markets in the U.S. Kalshi, a platform that offers election prediction markets, has attempted to improve transparency by flagging low‑volume trades and highlighting trade flows. However, the company has not fully addressed conflicts of interest arising from candidates trading their own contracts. While prediction markets are widely used in finance, the survey underscores that in the U.S. election context they face dual hurdles: a lack of public trust and regulatory compliance concerns.
Written with AI from the reporting · updated 10/18/2026
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- 1Unclassified fact stationOct 18, 20:30single sourcereport-time onlyrevised
预测市场面临重大问题：大多数美国人拒绝在选举上下注
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- Oct 18, 20:00
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- Oct 18, 20:30
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- CryptoSlateRelated fact: single sourceFact occurrence time unverifiedSource report revisedMost Americans reject election betting as prediction markets face trust crisis
Report first recorded Oct 18, 20:30
A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that 69% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans oppose using prediction markets to bet on election results. The survey of 4,506 U.S. adults also showed opposition to betting on military actions and government policy. This public resistance complicates the industry's defense that prediction markets provide superior information, as voters may value forecasts but object to profiting from election outcomes.
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