LlamaRisk
LlamaRisk executed emergency cap cuts on Oct 29–30 to restore borrowing capacity after the Aave exploit, reducing unused capacity by roughly $3.8 billion. Lower borrowing ceilings and temporary higher‑rate “Slope2” reductions were applied to Aave V3 and V4. GHO borrow‑cap changes queue from 150 M to 105 M GHO for Core and 85 M to 35 M for Prime, cutting 95 M GHO combined. Cap calculations use the higher of pre‑exploit or observation‑time borrowing plus ~2%, targeting lines that exceeded $10 M before the incident. Specific token caps: USDT 2,560 M USDT caps (55.3 M above debt), USDC 2,270 M USDC caps (54.1 M above debt). LlamaRisk also instituted a 10 % borrowing ceiling policy, though Rev1 notes 20 % for Core DAI, 34 % for Core USDtb, etc. New‑borrowing collateral rules after the rollback: USDT, USDC, USDT0, POL, WAVAX, sAVAX, XAUt, PAXG, OP and bridged equivalents keep zero collateral factor on V4, and E‑Mode on V3.· Entity summary generated by Graphiti
Relation timeline
BY VALID-FROM DATE- LlamaRiskEXECUTESAave V4
LlamaRisk executed lower borrowing ceilings and temporary interest‑rate changes on Aave V4
- LlamaRiskSET FULL UTILIZATION FORCore USDtb
LlamaRisk’s modeled full‑utilization table lists 34 % for Core USDtb
- LlamaRiskSET ZERO COLLATERAL POWER FOROP
The plan keeps OP at zero collateral borrowing power for new borrowing
- LlamaRiskSET ZERO COLLATERAL POWER FORUSDT
The plan keeps USDT at zero collateral borrowing power for new borrowing
- LlamaRiskEXECUTES SLOPE2 REDUCTIONAave
LlamaRisk executed temporary Slope2 reductions on Aave’s borrowing‑rate curve
- LlamaRiskSET ZERO COLLATERAL POWER FORUSDC
The plan keeps USDC at zero collateral borrowing power for new borrowing
- LlamaRiskSET ZERO COLLATERAL POWER FORPOL
The plan keeps POL at zero collateral borrowing power for new borrowing
- LlamaRiskMARKED EXECUTED WAVE FORAave V4
Only the V4 collateral‑configuration wave was explicitly marked as already executed in the 13:49 UTC update
- LlamaRiskSET ZERO COLLATERAL POWER FORUSDT0 protocol
The plan keeps USDT0 at zero collateral borrowing power for new borrowing
- LlamaRiskSET ZERO COLLATERAL POWER FORPAX Gold
The plan keeps PAXG at zero collateral borrowing power for new borrowing
- LlamaRiskSET FULL UTILIZATION FOREthereum Core frxUSD
LlamaRisk’s modeled full‑utilization table lists 19 % for Ethereum Core frxUSD
- LlamaRiskDESCRIBES OVERCOLLATERALIZED POSITION OFAave
LlamaRisk’s initial assessment described the exploiter’s Aave position as overcollateralised and subject to normal liquidation
- LlamaRiskSET ZERO COLLATERAL POWER FORXAUT
The plan keeps XAUt at zero collateral borrowing power for new borrowing
- LlamaRiskSET ZERO COLLATERAL POWER FORWAVAX
The plan keeps WAVAX at zero collateral borrowing power for new borrowing
- LlamaRiskSET FULL UTILIZATION FORMonad mUSD
LlamaRisk’s modeled full‑utilization table lists 25 % for Monad mUSD
- WETHINCLUDED IN SIZINGLlamaRisk
WETH’s 19 762‑WETH loan was included in LlamaRisk’s sizing basis for the exploit assessment
- LlamaRiskSET FULL UTILIZATION FORCore DAI
LlamaRisk’s modeled full‑utilization table lists 20 % for Core DAI
- LlamaRiskEXECUTESAave V3
LlamaRisk executed lower borrowing ceilings and temporary interest‑rate changes on Aave V3
- LlamaRiskSET ZERO COLLATERAL POWER FORsAVAX
The plan keeps sAVAX at zero collateral borrowing power for new borrowing
- LlamaRiskRECOMMENDSEthena Ecosystem Spoke
LlamaRisk recommends the Ethena Ecosystem Spoke
- LlamaRiskRECOMMENDS COLLATERAL FACTOR FORUSDe
LlamaRisk recommends a 93% collateral factor for USDe
- LlamaRiskASSESSEDBabylon Labs
LlamaRisk’s Oct 23 pre‑listing assessment evaluated Babylon Labs’ proposal.
- LlamaRiskRECOMMENDED COLLATERAL FACTOR FORSPCX
LlamaRisk recommends a 55% collateral factor for SPCXc
- LlamaRiskPROPOSED COLLATERAL RISK PREMIUM FORSPCX
LlamaRisk proposes a 1,000 basis point collateral risk premium for SPCXc
- LlamaRiskPROPOSED MAXIMUM LIQUIDATION BONUS FORSPCX
LlamaRisk proposes a 6.5% maximum liquidation bonus for SPCXc
- LlamaRiskISSUED RECOMMENDATION ONaEthUSDT token
LlamaRisk issued an Oct. 20 recommendation on the supply balance of aEthUSDT
- LlamaRiskASSESSEDSPCX
LlamaRisk published its assessment of the listing of SPCXc on October 15
Relations are facts Graphiti extracted from reports, not verbatim quotes. An end date means later reporting showed the relation no longer holds.
Events 3
- Aave reopens frozen markets but blocks new collateral loans1 cited report · 2026-10-31
- Ethena Pay’s 11x leverage loop promises high yield, but risks hidden losses1 cited report · 2026-10-29
- SpaceX’s $194 billion share unlock exposes a major risk in Aave’s tokenized stock ambitions1 cited report · 2026-10-21
Source reports 5
- Aave reopens frozen markets but blocks new collateral loansCryptoSlate · 2026-10-31
- Ethena Pay’s 11x leverage loop promises high yield, but risks hidden lossesCryptoSlate · 2026-10-29
- 3 payment rules control Aave’s native Bitcoin market, but only WBTC settles themCryptoSlate · 2026-10-27
- Aave changes USDT borrowing rules and loan costs suddenly jumpCryptoSlate · 2026-10-24
- SpaceX’s $194 billion share unlock exposes a major risk in Aave’s tokenized stock ambitionsCryptoSlate · 2026-10-21